Golden Textiles (Egypt) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 13.25
| GTWL Stock | 27.32 2.28 9.11% |
Golden |
Golden Textiles Target Price Odds to finish below 13.25
The tendency of Golden Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 13.25 or more in 90 days |
| 27.32 | 90 days | 13.25 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Golden Textiles to drop to 13.25 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Golden Textiles Clothes probability density function shows the probability of Golden Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Golden Textiles Clothes price to stay between 13.25 and its current price of 27.32 at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Golden Textiles has a beta of 0.43. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Golden Textiles average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Golden Textiles Clothes will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Golden Textiles Clothes has an alpha of 0.2236, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Golden Textiles Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Golden Textiles
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Golden Textiles Clothes. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Golden Textiles Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Golden Textiles is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Golden Textiles' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Golden Textiles Clothes, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Golden Textiles within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.43 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.19 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Golden Textiles Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Golden Textiles for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Golden Textiles Clothes can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Golden Textiles had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
Golden Textiles Technical Analysis
Golden Textiles' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Golden Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Golden Textiles Clothes. In general, you should focus on analyzing Golden Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Golden Textiles Predictive Forecast Models
Golden Textiles' time-series forecasting models is one of many Golden Textiles' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Golden Textiles' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Golden Textiles Clothes
Checking the ongoing alerts about Golden Textiles for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Golden Textiles Clothes help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Golden Textiles had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |