Grand Vision (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.38

GVMH Stock   0.98  0.00  0.00%   
Grand Vision's future price is the expected price of Grand Vision instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Grand Vision Media performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Grand Vision Backtesting, Grand Vision Valuation, Grand Vision Correlation, Grand Vision Hype Analysis, Grand Vision Volatility, Grand Vision History as well as Grand Vision Performance.
  
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Grand Vision Target Price Odds to finish over 4.38

The tendency of Grand Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  4.38  or more in 90 days
 0.98 90 days 4.38 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Grand Vision to move over  4.38  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Grand Vision Media probability density function shows the probability of Grand Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Grand Vision Media price to stay between its current price of  0.98  and  4.38  at the end of the 90-day period is about 74.12 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Grand Vision Media has a beta of -0.35. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Grand Vision are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Grand Vision Media is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Grand Vision Media has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Grand Vision Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Grand Vision

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Grand Vision Media. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.050.984.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.050.904.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.021.054.45
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.980.980.98
Details

Grand Vision Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Grand Vision is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Grand Vision's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Grand Vision Media, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Grand Vision within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.38
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.35
σ
Overall volatility
0.17
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Grand Vision Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Grand Vision for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Grand Vision Media can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Grand Vision Media generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Grand Vision Media has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Grand Vision Media has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Grand Vision Media has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the revenue of 5.96 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.91 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 76 K.
Grand Vision generates negative cash flow from operations
About 86.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Grand Vision Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Grand Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Grand Vision's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Grand Vision's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding96.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments291 K

Grand Vision Technical Analysis

Grand Vision's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Grand Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Grand Vision Media. In general, you should focus on analyzing Grand Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Grand Vision Predictive Forecast Models

Grand Vision's time-series forecasting models is one of many Grand Vision's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Grand Vision's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Grand Vision Media

Checking the ongoing alerts about Grand Vision for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Grand Vision Media help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Grand Vision Media generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Grand Vision Media has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Grand Vision Media has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Grand Vision Media has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the revenue of 5.96 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.91 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 76 K.
Grand Vision generates negative cash flow from operations
About 86.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Grand Stock Analysis

When running Grand Vision's price analysis, check to measure Grand Vision's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Grand Vision is operating at the current time. Most of Grand Vision's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Grand Vision's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Grand Vision's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Grand Vision to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.