Goviex Uranium Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0004

GVXXF Stock  USD 0.04  0  2.56%   
GoviEx Uranium's future price is the expected price of GoviEx Uranium instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of GoviEx Uranium performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out GoviEx Uranium Backtesting, GoviEx Uranium Valuation, GoviEx Uranium Correlation, GoviEx Uranium Hype Analysis, GoviEx Uranium Volatility, GoviEx Uranium History as well as GoviEx Uranium Performance.
  
Please specify GoviEx Uranium's target price for which you would like GoviEx Uranium odds to be computed.

GoviEx Uranium Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0004

The tendency of GoviEx OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.0004  or more in 90 days
 0.04 90 days 0.0004 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GoviEx Uranium to drop to $ 0.0004  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This GoviEx Uranium probability density function shows the probability of GoviEx OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of GoviEx Uranium price to stay between $ 0.0004  and its current price of $0.04 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.46 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon GoviEx Uranium has a beta of 0.1. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, GoviEx Uranium average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding GoviEx Uranium will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally GoviEx Uranium has an alpha of 0.7335, implying that it can generate a 0.73 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   GoviEx Uranium Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for GoviEx Uranium

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GoviEx Uranium. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of GoviEx Uranium's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0012.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0012.73
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00080.0412.77
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.030.040.05
Details

GoviEx Uranium Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GoviEx Uranium is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GoviEx Uranium's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GoviEx Uranium, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GoviEx Uranium within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.73
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.10
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

GoviEx Uranium Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GoviEx Uranium for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GoviEx Uranium can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GoviEx Uranium is way too risky over 90 days horizon
GoviEx Uranium has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
GoviEx Uranium appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
GoviEx Uranium has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (10.48 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
GoviEx Uranium has accumulated about 6.79 M in cash with (9.37 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 18.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

GoviEx Uranium Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GoviEx OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential GoviEx Uranium's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GoviEx Uranium's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding545.1 M

GoviEx Uranium Technical Analysis

GoviEx Uranium's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GoviEx OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GoviEx Uranium. In general, you should focus on analyzing GoviEx OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

GoviEx Uranium Predictive Forecast Models

GoviEx Uranium's time-series forecasting models is one of many GoviEx Uranium's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GoviEx Uranium's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about GoviEx Uranium

Checking the ongoing alerts about GoviEx Uranium for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GoviEx Uranium help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GoviEx Uranium is way too risky over 90 days horizon
GoviEx Uranium has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
GoviEx Uranium appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
GoviEx Uranium has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (10.48 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
GoviEx Uranium has accumulated about 6.79 M in cash with (9.37 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 18.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in GoviEx OTC Stock

GoviEx Uranium financial ratios help investors to determine whether GoviEx OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in GoviEx with respect to the benefits of owning GoviEx Uranium security.