Silver Hammer Mining Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.0238

HAMRF Stock  USD 0.04  0.01  36.07%   
Silver Hammer's future price is the expected price of Silver Hammer instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Silver Hammer Mining performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Silver Hammer Backtesting, Silver Hammer Valuation, Silver Hammer Correlation, Silver Hammer Hype Analysis, Silver Hammer Volatility, Silver Hammer History as well as Silver Hammer Performance.
  
Please specify Silver Hammer's target price for which you would like Silver Hammer odds to be computed.

Silver Hammer Target Price Odds to finish over 0.0238

The tendency of Silver Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 0.02  in 90 days
 0.04 90 days 0.02 
roughly 96.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Silver Hammer to stay above $ 0.02  in 90 days from now is roughly 96.0 (This Silver Hammer Mining probability density function shows the probability of Silver Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Silver Hammer Mining price to stay between $ 0.02  and its current price of $0.0381 at the end of the 90-day period is about 41.92 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 2.21 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Silver Hammer will likely underperform. Moreover Silver Hammer Mining has an alpha of 1.806, implying that it can generate a 1.81 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Silver Hammer Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Silver Hammer

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Silver Hammer Mining. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0420.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0320.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00090.0420.77
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.010.030.04
Details

Silver Hammer Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Silver Hammer is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Silver Hammer's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Silver Hammer Mining, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Silver Hammer within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.81
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.21
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

Silver Hammer Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Silver Hammer for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Silver Hammer Mining can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Silver Hammer Mining is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Silver Hammer Mining has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Silver Hammer Mining appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Silver Hammer Mining has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (2.04 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Silver Hammer Mining has accumulated about 2.65 M in cash with (1.82 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.06, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

Silver Hammer Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Silver Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Silver Hammer's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Silver Hammer's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding46.7 M

Silver Hammer Technical Analysis

Silver Hammer's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Silver Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Silver Hammer Mining. In general, you should focus on analyzing Silver Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Silver Hammer Predictive Forecast Models

Silver Hammer's time-series forecasting models is one of many Silver Hammer's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Silver Hammer's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Silver Hammer Mining

Checking the ongoing alerts about Silver Hammer for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Silver Hammer Mining help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Silver Hammer Mining is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Silver Hammer Mining has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Silver Hammer Mining appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Silver Hammer Mining has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (2.04 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Silver Hammer Mining has accumulated about 2.65 M in cash with (1.82 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.06, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

Other Information on Investing in Silver Pink Sheet

Silver Hammer financial ratios help investors to determine whether Silver Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Silver with respect to the benefits of owning Silver Hammer security.