Hartford Healthcare Hls Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 16.74

HBGHX Fund  USD 15.37  0.07  0.46%   
Hartford Healthcare's future price is the expected price of Hartford Healthcare instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Hartford Healthcare Hls performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Hartford Healthcare Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Hartford Healthcare Correlation, Hartford Healthcare Hype Analysis, Hartford Healthcare Volatility, Hartford Healthcare History as well as Hartford Healthcare Performance.
  
Please specify Hartford Healthcare's target price for which you would like Hartford Healthcare odds to be computed.

Hartford Healthcare Target Price Odds to finish over 16.74

The tendency of Hartford Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 16.74  or more in 90 days
 15.37 90 days 16.74 
nearly 4.6
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hartford Healthcare to move over $ 16.74  or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.6 (This Hartford Healthcare Hls probability density function shows the probability of Hartford Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hartford Healthcare Hls price to stay between its current price of $ 15.37  and $ 16.74  at the end of the 90-day period is about 75.68 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Hartford Healthcare has a beta of 0.61. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Hartford Healthcare average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Hartford Healthcare Hls will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Hartford Healthcare Hls has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Hartford Healthcare Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Hartford Healthcare

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hartford Healthcare Hls. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.5215.3016.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.5915.3716.15
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.9815.7716.55
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.9515.2215.49
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hartford Healthcare. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hartford Healthcare's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hartford Healthcare's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Hartford Healthcare Hls.

Hartford Healthcare Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hartford Healthcare is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hartford Healthcare's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hartford Healthcare Hls, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hartford Healthcare within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.2
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.61
σ
Overall volatility
0.54
Ir
Information ratio -0.31

Hartford Healthcare Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hartford Healthcare for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hartford Healthcare Hls can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hartford Healthcare generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund retains 97.08% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Hartford Healthcare Technical Analysis

Hartford Healthcare's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hartford Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hartford Healthcare Hls. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hartford Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Hartford Healthcare Predictive Forecast Models

Hartford Healthcare's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hartford Healthcare's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hartford Healthcare's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Hartford Healthcare Hls

Checking the ongoing alerts about Hartford Healthcare for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hartford Healthcare Hls help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hartford Healthcare generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund retains 97.08% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Hartford Mutual Fund

Hartford Healthcare financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hartford Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hartford with respect to the benefits of owning Hartford Healthcare security.
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