HCM Acquisition Corp Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0533

HCMAWDelisted Stock  USD 0.02  0  13.81%   
HCM Acquisition's future price is the expected price of HCM Acquisition instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of HCM Acquisition Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
  
Please specify HCM Acquisition's target price for which you would like HCM Acquisition odds to be computed.

HCM Acquisition Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0533

The tendency of HCM Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 0.05  after 90 days
 0.02 90 days 0.05 
about 75.45
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of HCM Acquisition to stay under $ 0.05  after 90 days from now is about 75.45 (This HCM Acquisition Corp probability density function shows the probability of HCM Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of HCM Acquisition Corp price to stay between its current price of $ 0.02  and $ 0.05  at the end of the 90-day period is about 56.19 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 8.34 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, HCM Acquisition will likely underperform. In addition to that HCM Acquisition Corp has an alpha of 7.2142, implying that it can generate a 7.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   HCM Acquisition Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for HCM Acquisition

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HCM Acquisition Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.020.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.020.02
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.030.030.03
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
00.040.08
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as HCM Acquisition. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against HCM Acquisition's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, HCM Acquisition's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in HCM Acquisition Corp.

HCM Acquisition Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. HCM Acquisition is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the HCM Acquisition's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold HCM Acquisition Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of HCM Acquisition within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
7.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones8.34
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

HCM Acquisition Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of HCM Acquisition for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for HCM Acquisition Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
HCM Acquisition Corp is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
HCM Acquisition Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
HCM Acquisition Corp has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
HCM Acquisition Corp has accumulated about 2.48 K in cash with (1.22 M) of positive cash flow from operations.

HCM Acquisition Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of HCM Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential HCM Acquisition's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. HCM Acquisition's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding26.8 K
Cash And Short Term Investments792.4 K

HCM Acquisition Technical Analysis

HCM Acquisition's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. HCM Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of HCM Acquisition Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing HCM Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

HCM Acquisition Predictive Forecast Models

HCM Acquisition's time-series forecasting models is one of many HCM Acquisition's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary HCM Acquisition's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about HCM Acquisition Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about HCM Acquisition for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for HCM Acquisition Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
HCM Acquisition Corp is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
HCM Acquisition Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
HCM Acquisition Corp has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
HCM Acquisition Corp has accumulated about 2.48 K in cash with (1.22 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.

Other Consideration for investing in HCM Stock

If you are still planning to invest in HCM Acquisition Corp check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the HCM Acquisition's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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