Hedge Top (Brazil) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Over 61.31
| HFOF11 Fund | 54.00 0.30 0.56% |
Hedge |
Hedge Top Target Price Odds to finish over 61.31
The tendency of Hedge Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 61.31 or more in 90 days |
| 54.00 | 90 days | 61.31 | about 53.14 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hedge Top to move over 61.31 or more in 90 days from now is about 53.14 (This Hedge Top Fofii probability density function shows the probability of Hedge Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hedge Top Fofii price to stay between its current price of 54.00 and 61.31 at the end of the 90-day period is about 44.9 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Hedge Top has a beta of 0.0135. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Hedge Top average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Hedge Top Fofii will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Hedge Top Fofii has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Hedge Top Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Hedge Top
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hedge Top Fofii. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Hedge Top Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hedge Top is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hedge Top's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hedge Top Fofii, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hedge Top within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.34 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.68 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.47 |
Hedge Top Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hedge Top for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hedge Top Fofii can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Hedge Top Fofii generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Hedge Top Technical Analysis
Hedge Top's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hedge Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hedge Top Fofii. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hedge Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Hedge Top Predictive Forecast Models
Hedge Top's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hedge Top's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hedge Top's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Hedge Top Fofii
Checking the ongoing alerts about Hedge Top for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hedge Top Fofii help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Hedge Top Fofii generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
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