Highland Funds I Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Under 16.46

HFRO-PA Preferred Stock  USD 16.72  0.16  0.97%   
Highland Funds' future price is the expected price of Highland Funds instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Highland Funds I performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Highland Funds Backtesting, Highland Funds Valuation, Highland Funds Correlation, Highland Funds Hype Analysis, Highland Funds Volatility, Highland Funds History as well as Highland Funds Performance.
  
Please specify Highland Funds' target price for which you would like Highland Funds odds to be computed.

Highland Funds Target Price Odds to finish below 16.46

The tendency of Highland Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 16.46  or more in 90 days
 16.72 90 days 16.46 
about 1.13
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Highland Funds to drop to $ 16.46  or more in 90 days from now is about 1.13 (This Highland Funds I probability density function shows the probability of Highland Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Highland Funds I price to stay between $ 16.46  and its current price of $16.72 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Highland Funds has a beta of 0.14. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Highland Funds average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Highland Funds I will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Highland Funds I has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Highland Funds Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Highland Funds

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Highland Funds I. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.7816.7217.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.2714.2118.39
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.5216.4617.39
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.3016.8317.36
Details

Highland Funds Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Highland Funds is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Highland Funds' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Highland Funds I, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Highland Funds within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.28
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.14
σ
Overall volatility
1.13
Ir
Information ratio -0.32

Highland Funds Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Highland Funds for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Highland Funds I can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Highland Funds I generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Highland Funds Technical Analysis

Highland Funds' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Highland Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Highland Funds I. In general, you should focus on analyzing Highland Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Highland Funds Predictive Forecast Models

Highland Funds' time-series forecasting models is one of many Highland Funds' preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Highland Funds' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Highland Funds I

Checking the ongoing alerts about Highland Funds for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Highland Funds I help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Highland Funds I generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Highland Preferred Stock

Highland Funds financial ratios help investors to determine whether Highland Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Highland with respect to the benefits of owning Highland Funds security.