Highland Longshort Healthcare Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 13.39

HHCCX Fund  USD 14.20  0.03  0.21%   
Highland Longshort's future price is the expected price of Highland Longshort instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Highland Longshort Healthcare performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Highland Longshort Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Highland Longshort Correlation, Highland Longshort Hype Analysis, Highland Longshort Volatility, Highland Longshort History as well as Highland Longshort Performance.
  
Please specify Highland Longshort's target price for which you would like Highland Longshort odds to be computed.

Highland Longshort Target Price Odds to finish below 13.39

The tendency of Highland Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 13.39  or more in 90 days
 14.20 90 days 13.39 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Highland Longshort to drop to $ 13.39  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Highland Longshort Healthcare probability density function shows the probability of Highland Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Highland Longshort price to stay between $ 13.39  and its current price of $14.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 53.59 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Highland Longshort has a beta of 0.17. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Highland Longshort average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Highland Longshort Healthcare will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Highland Longshort Healthcare has an alpha of 0.0028, implying that it can generate a 0.002781 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Highland Longshort Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Highland Longshort

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Highland Longshort. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Highland Longshort's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.0114.2014.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.0114.2014.39
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.0114.2014.39
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.1614.2714.37
Details

Highland Longshort Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Highland Longshort is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Highland Longshort's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Highland Longshort Healthcare, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Highland Longshort within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.17
σ
Overall volatility
0.11
Ir
Information ratio -0.36

Highland Longshort Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Highland Longshort for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Highland Longshort can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains all of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Highland Longshort Technical Analysis

Highland Longshort's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Highland Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Highland Longshort Healthcare. In general, you should focus on analyzing Highland Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Highland Longshort Predictive Forecast Models

Highland Longshort's time-series forecasting models is one of many Highland Longshort's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Highland Longshort's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Highland Longshort

Checking the ongoing alerts about Highland Longshort for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Highland Longshort help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains all of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Highland Mutual Fund

Highland Longshort financial ratios help investors to determine whether Highland Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Highland with respect to the benefits of owning Highland Longshort security.
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