HIAG Immobilien (Switzerland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 83.28

HIAG Stock  CHF 83.80  0.20  0.24%   
HIAG Immobilien's future price is the expected price of HIAG Immobilien instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of HIAG Immobilien Holding performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out HIAG Immobilien Backtesting, HIAG Immobilien Valuation, HIAG Immobilien Correlation, HIAG Immobilien Hype Analysis, HIAG Immobilien Volatility, HIAG Immobilien History as well as HIAG Immobilien Performance.
  
Please specify HIAG Immobilien's target price for which you would like HIAG Immobilien odds to be computed.

HIAG Immobilien Target Price Odds to finish below 83.28

The tendency of HIAG Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to ₣ 83.28  or more in 90 days
 83.80 90 days 83.28 
about 86.73
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of HIAG Immobilien to drop to ₣ 83.28  or more in 90 days from now is about 86.73 (This HIAG Immobilien Holding probability density function shows the probability of HIAG Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of HIAG Immobilien Holding price to stay between ₣ 83.28  and its current price of ₣83.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.31 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon HIAG Immobilien has a beta of 0.11. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, HIAG Immobilien average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding HIAG Immobilien Holding will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally HIAG Immobilien Holding has an alpha of 0.0739, implying that it can generate a 0.0739 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   HIAG Immobilien Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for HIAG Immobilien

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HIAG Immobilien Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
83.1683.8084.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
82.5683.2083.84
Details

HIAG Immobilien Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. HIAG Immobilien is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the HIAG Immobilien's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold HIAG Immobilien Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of HIAG Immobilien within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.11
σ
Overall volatility
1.13
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

HIAG Immobilien Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of HIAG Immobilien for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for HIAG Immobilien Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
HIAG Immobilien Holding has accumulated 515.16 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.07, which is about average as compared to similar companies. HIAG Immobilien Holding has a current ratio of 0.36, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist HIAG Immobilien until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, HIAG Immobilien's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like HIAG Immobilien Holding sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for HIAG to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about HIAG Immobilien's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 55.0% of HIAG Immobilien shares are held by company insiders

HIAG Immobilien Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of HIAG Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential HIAG Immobilien's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. HIAG Immobilien's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding8.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments88.8 M

HIAG Immobilien Technical Analysis

HIAG Immobilien's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. HIAG Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of HIAG Immobilien Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing HIAG Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

HIAG Immobilien Predictive Forecast Models

HIAG Immobilien's time-series forecasting models is one of many HIAG Immobilien's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary HIAG Immobilien's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about HIAG Immobilien Holding

Checking the ongoing alerts about HIAG Immobilien for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for HIAG Immobilien Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
HIAG Immobilien Holding has accumulated 515.16 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.07, which is about average as compared to similar companies. HIAG Immobilien Holding has a current ratio of 0.36, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist HIAG Immobilien until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, HIAG Immobilien's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like HIAG Immobilien Holding sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for HIAG to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about HIAG Immobilien's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 55.0% of HIAG Immobilien shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for HIAG Stock Analysis

When running HIAG Immobilien's price analysis, check to measure HIAG Immobilien's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy HIAG Immobilien is operating at the current time. Most of HIAG Immobilien's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of HIAG Immobilien's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move HIAG Immobilien's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of HIAG Immobilien to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.