Harding Loevner Global Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 35.77

HLGZX Fund  USD 46.25  0.46  1.00%   
Harding Loevner's future price is the expected price of Harding Loevner instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Harding Loevner Global performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Harding Loevner Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Harding Loevner Correlation, Harding Loevner Hype Analysis, Harding Loevner Volatility, Harding Loevner History as well as Harding Loevner Performance.
  
Please specify Harding Loevner's target price for which you would like Harding Loevner odds to be computed.

Harding Loevner Target Price Odds to finish over 35.77

The tendency of Harding Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 35.77  in 90 days
 46.25 90 days 35.77 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Harding Loevner to stay above $ 35.77  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Harding Loevner Global probability density function shows the probability of Harding Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Harding Loevner Global price to stay between $ 35.77  and its current price of $46.25 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Harding Loevner has a beta of 0.0649. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Harding Loevner average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Harding Loevner Global will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Harding Loevner Global has an alpha of 0.1052, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Harding Loevner Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Harding Loevner

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Harding Loevner Global. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
45.5446.2546.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
45.2045.9146.62
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Harding Loevner. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Harding Loevner's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Harding Loevner's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Harding Loevner Global.

Harding Loevner Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Harding Loevner is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Harding Loevner's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Harding Loevner Global, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Harding Loevner within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.06
σ
Overall volatility
0.70
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Harding Loevner Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Harding Loevner for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Harding Loevner Global can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 98.5% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Harding Loevner Technical Analysis

Harding Loevner's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Harding Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Harding Loevner Global. In general, you should focus on analyzing Harding Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Harding Loevner Predictive Forecast Models

Harding Loevner's time-series forecasting models is one of many Harding Loevner's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Harding Loevner's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Harding Loevner Global

Checking the ongoing alerts about Harding Loevner for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Harding Loevner Global help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 98.5% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Harding Mutual Fund

Harding Loevner financial ratios help investors to determine whether Harding Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Harding with respect to the benefits of owning Harding Loevner security.
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