Hongkong Land (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.36
| HLH Stock | EUR 4.16 0.08 1.89% |
Hongkong |
Hongkong Land Target Price Odds to finish below 4.36
The tendency of Hongkong Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 4.36 after 90 days |
| 4.16 | 90 days | 4.36 | about 82.86 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hongkong Land to stay under € 4.36 after 90 days from now is about 82.86 (This Hongkong Land Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Hongkong Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hongkong Land Holdings price to stay between its current price of € 4.16 and € 4.36 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.65 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Hongkong Land Holdings has a beta of -0.41. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Hongkong Land are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Hongkong Land Holdings is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Hongkong Land Holdings has an alpha of 0.4116, implying that it can generate a 0.41 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Hongkong Land Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Hongkong Land
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hongkong Land Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Hongkong Land Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hongkong Land is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hongkong Land's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hongkong Land Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hongkong Land within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.41 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.41 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.42 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Hongkong Land Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hongkong Land for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hongkong Land Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Hongkong Land has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 2.38 B. Net Loss for the year was (349.2 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.1 B. | |
| About 53.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Hongkong Land Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hongkong Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hongkong Land's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hongkong Land's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.3 B |
Hongkong Land Technical Analysis
Hongkong Land's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hongkong Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hongkong Land Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hongkong Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Hongkong Land Predictive Forecast Models
Hongkong Land's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hongkong Land's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hongkong Land's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Hongkong Land Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Hongkong Land for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hongkong Land Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Hongkong Land has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 2.38 B. Net Loss for the year was (349.2 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.1 B. | |
| About 53.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Hongkong Stock
Hongkong Land financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hongkong Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hongkong with respect to the benefits of owning Hongkong Land security.