Hilton Worldwide Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 201.71
| HLT Stock | USD 256.97 3.25 1.28% |
Closest to current price Hilton long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Hilton |
Hilton Worldwide Target Price Odds to finish below 201.71
The tendency of Hilton Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 201.71 or more in 90 days |
| 256.97 | 90 days | 201.71 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hilton Worldwide to drop to $ 201.71 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Hilton Worldwide Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Hilton Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hilton Worldwide Holdings price to stay between $ 201.71 and its current price of $256.97 at the end of the 90-day period is under 95 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.12 . This usually indicates Hilton Worldwide Holdings market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Hilton Worldwide is expected to follow. Additionally Hilton Worldwide Holdings has an alpha of 0.1205, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Hilton Worldwide Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Hilton Worldwide
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hilton Worldwide Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Hilton Worldwide Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hilton Worldwide is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hilton Worldwide's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hilton Worldwide Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hilton Worldwide within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 12.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Hilton Worldwide Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hilton Worldwide for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hilton Worldwide Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Hilton Worldwide Holdings has 10.12 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 13.56, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Hilton Worldwide Holdings has a current ratio of 0.86, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Hilton to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Over 98.0% of Hilton Worldwide shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from newsweek.com: Half of Americans say its not OK to cheer CEOs death Poll |
Hilton Worldwide Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hilton Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hilton Worldwide's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hilton Worldwide's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 264 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 800 M |
Hilton Worldwide Technical Analysis
Hilton Worldwide's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hilton Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hilton Worldwide Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hilton Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Hilton Worldwide Predictive Forecast Models
Hilton Worldwide's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hilton Worldwide's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hilton Worldwide's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Hilton Worldwide Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Hilton Worldwide for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hilton Worldwide Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Hilton Worldwide Holdings has 10.12 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 13.56, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Hilton Worldwide Holdings has a current ratio of 0.86, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Hilton to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Over 98.0% of Hilton Worldwide shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from newsweek.com: Half of Americans say its not OK to cheer CEOs death Poll |
Additional Tools for Hilton Stock Analysis
When running Hilton Worldwide's price analysis, check to measure Hilton Worldwide's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hilton Worldwide is operating at the current time. Most of Hilton Worldwide's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hilton Worldwide's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hilton Worldwide's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hilton Worldwide to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.