HEDGE OFFICE (Brazil) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Over 23.89
| HOFC11 Fund | 24.40 0.21 0.87% |
HEDGE |
HEDGE OFFICE Target Price Odds to finish over 23.89
The tendency of HEDGE Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 23.89 in 90 days |
| 24.40 | 90 days | 23.89 | about 92.66 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of HEDGE OFFICE to stay above 23.89 in 90 days from now is about 92.66 (This HEDGE OFFICE INCOME probability density function shows the probability of HEDGE Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of HEDGE OFFICE INCOME price to stay between 23.89 and its current price of 24.4 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.15 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon HEDGE OFFICE has a beta of 0.17. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, HEDGE OFFICE average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding HEDGE OFFICE INCOME will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally HEDGE OFFICE INCOME has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. HEDGE OFFICE Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for HEDGE OFFICE
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HEDGE OFFICE INCOME. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.HEDGE OFFICE Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. HEDGE OFFICE is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the HEDGE OFFICE's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold HEDGE OFFICE INCOME, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of HEDGE OFFICE within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.35 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.2 |
HEDGE OFFICE Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of HEDGE OFFICE for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for HEDGE OFFICE INCOME can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| HEDGE OFFICE INCOME generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
HEDGE OFFICE Technical Analysis
HEDGE OFFICE's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. HEDGE Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of HEDGE OFFICE INCOME. In general, you should focus on analyzing HEDGE Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
HEDGE OFFICE Predictive Forecast Models
HEDGE OFFICE's time-series forecasting models is one of many HEDGE OFFICE's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary HEDGE OFFICE's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about HEDGE OFFICE INCOME
Checking the ongoing alerts about HEDGE OFFICE for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for HEDGE OFFICE INCOME help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| HEDGE OFFICE INCOME generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
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