CenterPoint Energy (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 31.54

HOU Stock  EUR 29.60  0.20  0.67%   
CenterPoint Energy's future price is the expected price of CenterPoint Energy instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of CenterPoint Energy performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out CenterPoint Energy Backtesting, CenterPoint Energy Valuation, CenterPoint Energy Correlation, CenterPoint Energy Hype Analysis, CenterPoint Energy Volatility, CenterPoint Energy History as well as CenterPoint Energy Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in CenterPoint Stock please use our How to Invest in CenterPoint Energy guide.
  
Please specify CenterPoint Energy's target price for which you would like CenterPoint Energy odds to be computed.

CenterPoint Energy Target Price Odds to finish over 31.54

The tendency of CenterPoint Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 31.54  or more in 90 days
 29.60 90 days 31.54 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CenterPoint Energy to move over € 31.54  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This CenterPoint Energy probability density function shows the probability of CenterPoint Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CenterPoint Energy price to stay between its current price of € 29.60  and € 31.54  at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.5 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon CenterPoint Energy has a beta of 0.82. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, CenterPoint Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CenterPoint Energy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CenterPoint Energy has an alpha of 0.2117, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   CenterPoint Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CenterPoint Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CenterPoint Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.001.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.001.49
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
26.5528.0429.54
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
26.7429.2231.71
Details

CenterPoint Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CenterPoint Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CenterPoint Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CenterPoint Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CenterPoint Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.82
σ
Overall volatility
1.88
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

CenterPoint Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CenterPoint Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CenterPoint Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CenterPoint Energy has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Over 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

CenterPoint Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CenterPoint Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CenterPoint Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CenterPoint Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding629.5 M

CenterPoint Energy Technical Analysis

CenterPoint Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CenterPoint Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CenterPoint Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing CenterPoint Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

CenterPoint Energy Predictive Forecast Models

CenterPoint Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many CenterPoint Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CenterPoint Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about CenterPoint Energy

Checking the ongoing alerts about CenterPoint Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CenterPoint Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CenterPoint Energy has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Over 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in CenterPoint Stock

When determining whether CenterPoint Energy is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if CenterPoint Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Centerpoint Energy Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Centerpoint Energy Stock:
Check out CenterPoint Energy Backtesting, CenterPoint Energy Valuation, CenterPoint Energy Correlation, CenterPoint Energy Hype Analysis, CenterPoint Energy Volatility, CenterPoint Energy History as well as CenterPoint Energy Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in CenterPoint Stock please use our How to Invest in CenterPoint Energy guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CenterPoint Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CenterPoint Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CenterPoint Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.