Betapro Crude Oil Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 11.86

HOU Etf  CAD 11.44  0.36  3.05%   
BetaPro Crude's future price is the expected price of BetaPro Crude instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of BetaPro Crude Oil performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out BetaPro Crude Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, BetaPro Crude Correlation, BetaPro Crude Hype Analysis, BetaPro Crude Volatility, BetaPro Crude History as well as BetaPro Crude Performance.
  
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BetaPro Crude Target Price Odds to finish below 11.86

The tendency of BetaPro Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under C$ 11.86  after 90 days
 11.44 90 days 11.86 
about 49.8
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BetaPro Crude to stay under C$ 11.86  after 90 days from now is about 49.8 (This BetaPro Crude Oil probability density function shows the probability of BetaPro Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BetaPro Crude Oil price to stay between its current price of C$ 11.44  and C$ 11.86  at the end of the 90-day period is about 21.22 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BetaPro Crude has a beta of 0.11. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, BetaPro Crude average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding BetaPro Crude Oil will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally BetaPro Crude Oil has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   BetaPro Crude Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for BetaPro Crude

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BetaPro Crude Oil. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.5811.8416.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.7210.9815.24
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.1711.4315.70
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.2611.5811.91
Details

BetaPro Crude Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BetaPro Crude is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BetaPro Crude's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BetaPro Crude Oil, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BetaPro Crude within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.11
σ
Overall volatility
0.75
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

BetaPro Crude Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BetaPro Crude for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BetaPro Crude Oil can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BetaPro Crude Oil had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
BetaPro Crude Oil generated-45.0 ten year return of -45.0%
This fund retains all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments

BetaPro Crude Technical Analysis

BetaPro Crude's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BetaPro Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BetaPro Crude Oil. In general, you should focus on analyzing BetaPro Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

BetaPro Crude Predictive Forecast Models

BetaPro Crude's time-series forecasting models is one of many BetaPro Crude's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BetaPro Crude's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about BetaPro Crude Oil

Checking the ongoing alerts about BetaPro Crude for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BetaPro Crude Oil help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BetaPro Crude Oil had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
BetaPro Crude Oil generated-45.0 ten year return of -45.0%
This fund retains all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments

Other Information on Investing in BetaPro Etf

BetaPro Crude financial ratios help investors to determine whether BetaPro Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BetaPro with respect to the benefits of owning BetaPro Crude security.