8990 Holdings (Philippines) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 6.54
| HOUSE Stock | 8.70 0.15 1.75% |
8990 |
8990 Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 6.54
The tendency of 8990 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 6.54 or more in 90 days |
| 8.70 | 90 days | 6.54 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 8990 Holdings to drop to 6.54 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This 8990 Holdings probability density function shows the probability of 8990 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of 8990 Holdings price to stay between 6.54 and its current price of 8.7 at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.93 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon 8990 Holdings has a beta of 0.11. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, 8990 Holdings average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding 8990 Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally 8990 Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. 8990 Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for 8990 Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as 8990 Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of 8990 Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
8990 Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 8990 Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 8990 Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold 8990 Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 8990 Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.26 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
8990 Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 8990 Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for 8990 Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| 8990 Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
8990 Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 8990 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential 8990 Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. 8990 Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.4 B | |
| Dividends Paid | 1.6 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.7 B |
8990 Holdings Technical Analysis
8990 Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 8990 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of 8990 Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing 8990 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
8990 Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
8990 Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many 8990 Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 8990 Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about 8990 Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about 8990 Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for 8990 Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| 8990 Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Additional Tools for 8990 Stock Analysis
When running 8990 Holdings' price analysis, check to measure 8990 Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy 8990 Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of 8990 Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of 8990 Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move 8990 Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of 8990 Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.