Hammond Power Solutions Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 111.88
| HPS-A Stock | CAD 126.59 4.95 4.07% |
Hammond |
Hammond Power Target Price Odds to finish below 111.88
The tendency of Hammond Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to C$ 111.88 or more in 90 days |
| 126.59 | 90 days | 111.88 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hammond Power to drop to C$ 111.88 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Hammond Power Solutions probability density function shows the probability of Hammond Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hammond Power Solutions price to stay between C$ 111.88 and its current price of C$126.59 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.19 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Hammond Power has a beta of 0.68. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Hammond Power average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Hammond Power Solutions will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Hammond Power Solutions has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Hammond Power Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Hammond Power
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hammond Power Solutions. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Hammond Power Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hammond Power is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hammond Power's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hammond Power Solutions, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hammond Power within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.68 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 8.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Hammond Power Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hammond Power for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hammond Power Solutions can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Hammond Power generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Hammond Power is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Investors Should Be Encouraged By Hammond Power Solutions Returns On Capital - Simply Wall St |
Hammond Power Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hammond Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hammond Power's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hammond Power's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 52.6 M |
Hammond Power Technical Analysis
Hammond Power's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hammond Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hammond Power Solutions. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hammond Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Hammond Power Predictive Forecast Models
Hammond Power's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hammond Power's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hammond Power's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Hammond Power Solutions
Checking the ongoing alerts about Hammond Power for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hammond Power Solutions help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Hammond Power generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Hammond Power is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Investors Should Be Encouraged By Hammond Power Solutions Returns On Capital - Simply Wall St |
Additional Tools for Hammond Stock Analysis
When running Hammond Power's price analysis, check to measure Hammond Power's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hammond Power is operating at the current time. Most of Hammond Power's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hammond Power's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hammond Power's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hammond Power to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.