Menteng Heritage (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 41.80
| HRME Stock | 43.00 2.00 4.44% |
Menteng |
Menteng Heritage Target Price Odds to finish over 41.80
The tendency of Menteng Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 41.80 in 90 days |
| 43.00 | 90 days | 41.80 | about 28.1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Menteng Heritage to stay above 41.80 in 90 days from now is about 28.1 (This Menteng Heritage Realty probability density function shows the probability of Menteng Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Menteng Heritage Realty price to stay between 41.80 and its current price of 43.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.38 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Menteng Heritage Realty has a beta of -0.0887. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Menteng Heritage are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Menteng Heritage Realty is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Menteng Heritage Realty has an alpha of 0.2993, implying that it can generate a 0.3 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Menteng Heritage Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Menteng Heritage
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Menteng Heritage Realty. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Menteng Heritage Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Menteng Heritage is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Menteng Heritage's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Menteng Heritage Realty, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Menteng Heritage within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.30 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.95 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Menteng Heritage Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Menteng Heritage for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Menteng Heritage Realty can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Menteng Heritage had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Menteng Heritage has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 66.4 B. Net Loss for the year was (29.48 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 35.84 B. | |
| About 85.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Menteng Heritage Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Menteng Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Menteng Heritage's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Menteng Heritage's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 18.6 B |
Menteng Heritage Technical Analysis
Menteng Heritage's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Menteng Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Menteng Heritage Realty. In general, you should focus on analyzing Menteng Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Menteng Heritage Predictive Forecast Models
Menteng Heritage's time-series forecasting models is one of many Menteng Heritage's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Menteng Heritage's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Menteng Heritage Realty
Checking the ongoing alerts about Menteng Heritage for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Menteng Heritage Realty help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Menteng Heritage had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Menteng Heritage has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 66.4 B. Net Loss for the year was (29.48 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 35.84 B. | |
| About 85.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Menteng Stock
Menteng Heritage financial ratios help investors to determine whether Menteng Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Menteng with respect to the benefits of owning Menteng Heritage security.