Halyk Bank (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.53
| HSBK Stock | 19.50 0.66 3.50% |
Halyk |
Halyk Bank Target Price Odds to finish below 11.53
The tendency of Halyk Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 11.53 or more in 90 days |
| 19.50 | 90 days | 11.53 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Halyk Bank to drop to 11.53 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Halyk Bank of probability density function shows the probability of Halyk Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Halyk Bank price to stay between 11.53 and its current price of 19.5 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 96.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Halyk Bank of has a beta of -0.0999. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Halyk Bank are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Halyk Bank of is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Halyk Bank of has an alpha of 0.2334, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Halyk Bank Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Halyk Bank
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Halyk Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Halyk Bank Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Halyk Bank is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Halyk Bank's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Halyk Bank of, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Halyk Bank within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.99 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Halyk Bank Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Halyk Bank for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Halyk Bank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Halyk Bank generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Halyk Bank executes buyback of global depositary receipts - Investing.com |
Halyk Bank Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Halyk Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Halyk Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Halyk Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 272.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.6 T |
Halyk Bank Technical Analysis
Halyk Bank's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Halyk Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Halyk Bank of. In general, you should focus on analyzing Halyk Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Halyk Bank Predictive Forecast Models
Halyk Bank's time-series forecasting models is one of many Halyk Bank's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Halyk Bank's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Halyk Bank
Checking the ongoing alerts about Halyk Bank for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Halyk Bank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Halyk Bank generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Halyk Bank executes buyback of global depositary receipts - Investing.com |
Additional Tools for Halyk Stock Analysis
When running Halyk Bank's price analysis, check to measure Halyk Bank's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Halyk Bank is operating at the current time. Most of Halyk Bank's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Halyk Bank's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Halyk Bank's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Halyk Bank to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.