Hilltop Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 31.58
| HTH Stock | USD 31.58 0.59 1.83% |
Hilltop |
Hilltop Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 31.58
The tendency of Hilltop Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 31.58 | 90 days | 31.58 | about 54.32 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hilltop Holdings to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 54.32 (This Hilltop Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Hilltop Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.97 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Hilltop Holdings will likely underperform. Additionally Hilltop Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Hilltop Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Hilltop Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hilltop Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hilltop Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hilltop Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hilltop Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hilltop Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hilltop Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hilltop Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.97 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.83 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Hilltop Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hilltop Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hilltop Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Hilltop Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Hilltop Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Hilltop Holdings has 656.48 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.03, which is OK given its current industry classification. Hilltop Holdings has a current ratio of 0.43, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Hilltop to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| About 58.0% of Hilltop Holdings shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 22nd of November 2024 Hilltop Holdings paid $ 0.17 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. Shares Bought by Coldstream Capital Management Inc. |
Hilltop Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hilltop Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hilltop Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hilltop Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 65 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.9 B |
Hilltop Holdings Technical Analysis
Hilltop Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hilltop Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hilltop Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hilltop Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Hilltop Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Hilltop Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Hilltop Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hilltop Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Hilltop Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Hilltop Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hilltop Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Hilltop Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Hilltop Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Hilltop Holdings has 656.48 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.03, which is OK given its current industry classification. Hilltop Holdings has a current ratio of 0.43, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Hilltop to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| About 58.0% of Hilltop Holdings shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 22nd of November 2024 Hilltop Holdings paid $ 0.17 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. Shares Bought by Coldstream Capital Management Inc. |
Check out Hilltop Holdings Backtesting, Hilltop Holdings Valuation, Hilltop Holdings Correlation, Hilltop Holdings Hype Analysis, Hilltop Holdings Volatility, Hilltop Holdings History as well as Hilltop Holdings Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Hilltop Stock please use our How to Invest in Hilltop Holdings guide.You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hilltop Holdings. If investors know Hilltop will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hilltop Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.20) | Dividend Share 0.67 | Earnings Share 1.63 | Revenue Per Share 17.973 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) |
The market value of Hilltop Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hilltop that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hilltop Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hilltop Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hilltop Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hilltop Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hilltop Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hilltop Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hilltop Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.