Healthcare Trust Pr Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.54
| HTIA Stock | USD 15.40 0.39 2.47% |
Healthcare |
Healthcare Trust Target Price Odds to finish below 11.54
The tendency of Healthcare Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 11.54 or more in 90 days |
| 15.40 | 90 days | 11.54 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Healthcare Trust to drop to $ 11.54 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Healthcare Trust PR probability density function shows the probability of Healthcare Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Healthcare Trust price to stay between $ 11.54 and its current price of $15.4 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.24 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Healthcare Trust PR has a beta of -0.0858. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Healthcare Trust are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Healthcare Trust PR is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Healthcare Trust PR has an alpha of 0.0094, implying that it can generate a 0.009361 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Healthcare Trust Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Healthcare Trust
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Healthcare Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Healthcare Trust Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Healthcare Trust is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Healthcare Trust's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Healthcare Trust PR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Healthcare Trust within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.36 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Healthcare Trust Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Healthcare Trust for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Healthcare Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Healthcare Trust generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Healthcare Trust has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 345.77 M. Net Loss for the year was (72.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 101.55 M. | |
| Healthcare Trust has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Tuppeny Elizabeth K. of 25000 shares of Healthcare Trust at 21.45 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Healthcare Trust Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Healthcare Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Healthcare Trust's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Healthcare Trust's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 28.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 46.4 M |
Healthcare Trust Technical Analysis
Healthcare Trust's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Healthcare Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Healthcare Trust PR. In general, you should focus on analyzing Healthcare Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Healthcare Trust Predictive Forecast Models
Healthcare Trust's time-series forecasting models is one of many Healthcare Trust's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Healthcare Trust's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Healthcare Trust
Checking the ongoing alerts about Healthcare Trust for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Healthcare Trust help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Healthcare Trust generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Healthcare Trust has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 345.77 M. Net Loss for the year was (72.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 101.55 M. | |
| Healthcare Trust has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Tuppeny Elizabeth K. of 25000 shares of Healthcare Trust at 21.45 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out Healthcare Trust Backtesting, Healthcare Trust Valuation, Healthcare Trust Correlation, Healthcare Trust Hype Analysis, Healthcare Trust Volatility, Healthcare Trust History as well as Healthcare Trust Performance. You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
Is Real Estate Management & Development space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Healthcare Trust. If investors know Healthcare will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Healthcare Trust listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.07) | Revenue Per Share 12.357 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.032 | Return On Assets (0.0004) | Return On Equity (0.20) |
The market value of Healthcare Trust is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Healthcare that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Healthcare Trust's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Healthcare Trust's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Healthcare Trust's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Healthcare Trust's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Healthcare Trust's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Healthcare Trust is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Healthcare Trust's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.