Huize Holding Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.98
| HUIZ Stock | USD 2.74 0.24 8.05% |
Huize |
Huize Holding Target Price Odds to finish over 2.98
The tendency of Huize Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 2.98 or more in 90 days |
| 2.74 | 90 days | 2.98 | roughly 2.11 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Huize Holding to move over $ 2.98 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.11 (This Huize Holding probability density function shows the probability of Huize Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Huize Holding price to stay between its current price of $ 2.74 and $ 2.98 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.65 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Huize Holding has a beta of -9.98. This usually indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Huize Holding are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Huize Holding is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Huize Holding has an alpha of 14.4901, implying that it can generate a 14.49 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Huize Holding Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Huize Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Huize Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Huize Holding Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Huize Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Huize Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Huize Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Huize Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 14.49 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -9.98 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.95 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
Huize Holding Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Huize Holding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Huize Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Huize Holding is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Huize Holding appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Huize Holding is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: HUIZ Surges Over 18 percent Following Strong Q3 Earnings Report |
Huize Holding Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Huize Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Huize Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Huize Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 50 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 258.1 M |
Huize Holding Technical Analysis
Huize Holding's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Huize Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Huize Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing Huize Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Huize Holding Predictive Forecast Models
Huize Holding's time-series forecasting models is one of many Huize Holding's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Huize Holding's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Huize Holding
Checking the ongoing alerts about Huize Holding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Huize Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Huize Holding is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Huize Holding appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Huize Holding is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: HUIZ Surges Over 18 percent Following Strong Q3 Earnings Report |
Additional Tools for Huize Stock Analysis
When running Huize Holding's price analysis, check to measure Huize Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Huize Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Huize Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Huize Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Huize Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Huize Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.