Huaneng Power (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.38

HUP1 Stock  EUR 0.49  0.02  3.92%   
Huaneng Power's future price is the expected price of Huaneng Power instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Huaneng Power International performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Huaneng Power Backtesting, Huaneng Power Valuation, Huaneng Power Correlation, Huaneng Power Hype Analysis, Huaneng Power Volatility, Huaneng Power History as well as Huaneng Power Performance.
  
Please specify Huaneng Power's target price for which you would like Huaneng Power odds to be computed.

Huaneng Power Target Price Odds to finish over 3.38

The tendency of Huaneng Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 3.38  or more in 90 days
 0.49 90 days 3.38 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Huaneng Power to move over € 3.38  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Huaneng Power International probability density function shows the probability of Huaneng Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Huaneng Power Intern price to stay between its current price of € 0.49  and € 3.38  at the end of the 90-day period is about 50.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Huaneng Power has a beta of 0.49. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Huaneng Power average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Huaneng Power International will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Huaneng Power International has an alpha of 0.0826, implying that it can generate a 0.0826 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Huaneng Power Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Huaneng Power

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Huaneng Power Intern. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.493.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.423.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.503.38
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.460.490.51
Details

Huaneng Power Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Huaneng Power is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Huaneng Power's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Huaneng Power International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Huaneng Power within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.49
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Huaneng Power Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Huaneng Power for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Huaneng Power Intern can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Huaneng Power Intern has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Huaneng Power Intern has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Huaneng Power Intern has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Huaneng Power International has accumulated 166.25 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 196.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Huaneng Power Intern has a current ratio of 0.43, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Huaneng Power until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Huaneng Power's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Huaneng Power Intern sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Huaneng to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Huaneng Power's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 204.61 B. Net Loss for the year was (10.26 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (675.8 M).
About 20.0% of Huaneng Power shares are held by company insiders

Huaneng Power Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Huaneng Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Huaneng Power's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Huaneng Power's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding15.7 B

Huaneng Power Technical Analysis

Huaneng Power's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Huaneng Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Huaneng Power International. In general, you should focus on analyzing Huaneng Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Huaneng Power Predictive Forecast Models

Huaneng Power's time-series forecasting models is one of many Huaneng Power's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Huaneng Power's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Huaneng Power Intern

Checking the ongoing alerts about Huaneng Power for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Huaneng Power Intern help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Huaneng Power Intern has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Huaneng Power Intern has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Huaneng Power Intern has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Huaneng Power International has accumulated 166.25 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 196.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Huaneng Power Intern has a current ratio of 0.43, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Huaneng Power until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Huaneng Power's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Huaneng Power Intern sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Huaneng to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Huaneng Power's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 204.61 B. Net Loss for the year was (10.26 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (675.8 M).
About 20.0% of Huaneng Power shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Huaneng Stock

Huaneng Power financial ratios help investors to determine whether Huaneng Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Huaneng with respect to the benefits of owning Huaneng Power security.