Hybrid Financial (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.94

HYBRIDFIN   12.55  0.02  0.16%   
Hybrid Financial's future price is the expected price of Hybrid Financial instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Hybrid Financial Services performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Hybrid Financial Backtesting, Hybrid Financial Valuation, Hybrid Financial Correlation, Hybrid Financial Hype Analysis, Hybrid Financial Volatility, Hybrid Financial History as well as Hybrid Financial Performance.
  
Please specify Hybrid Financial's target price for which you would like Hybrid Financial odds to be computed.

Hybrid Financial Target Price Odds to finish below 11.94

The tendency of Hybrid Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  11.94  or more in 90 days
 12.55 90 days 11.94 
about 6.53
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hybrid Financial to drop to  11.94  or more in 90 days from now is about 6.53 (This Hybrid Financial Services probability density function shows the probability of Hybrid Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hybrid Financial Services price to stay between  11.94  and its current price of 12.55 at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.54 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Hybrid Financial Services has a beta of -0.47. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Hybrid Financial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Hybrid Financial Services is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Hybrid Financial Services has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Hybrid Financial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Hybrid Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hybrid Financial Services. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.9012.5515.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.0410.6913.34
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.2911.9414.59
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.6913.1714.64
Details

Hybrid Financial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hybrid Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hybrid Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hybrid Financial Services, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hybrid Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.47
σ
Overall volatility
0.79
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Hybrid Financial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hybrid Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hybrid Financial Services can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hybrid Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Hybrid Financial is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 64.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Hybrid Financial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hybrid Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hybrid Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hybrid Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding29.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments186.2 M

Hybrid Financial Technical Analysis

Hybrid Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hybrid Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hybrid Financial Services. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hybrid Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Hybrid Financial Predictive Forecast Models

Hybrid Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hybrid Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hybrid Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Hybrid Financial Services

Checking the ongoing alerts about Hybrid Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hybrid Financial Services help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hybrid Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Hybrid Financial is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 64.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Hybrid Stock

Hybrid Financial financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hybrid Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hybrid with respect to the benefits of owning Hybrid Financial security.