Horizon Oil Limited Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 0.13
| HZNFF Stock | USD 0.13 0.01 7.14% |
Horizon |
Horizon Oil Target Price Odds to finish over 0.13
The tendency of Horizon OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.13 | 90 days | 0.13 | about 50.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Horizon Oil to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 50.0 (This Horizon Oil Limited probability density function shows the probability of Horizon OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Horizon Oil Limited has a beta of -0.8. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Horizon Oil are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Horizon Oil Limited is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Horizon Oil Limited has an alpha of 0.3158, implying that it can generate a 0.32 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Horizon Oil Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Horizon Oil
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Horizon Oil Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Horizon Oil Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Horizon Oil is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Horizon Oil's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Horizon Oil Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Horizon Oil within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.32 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.8 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Horizon Oil Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Horizon Oil for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Horizon Oil Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Horizon Oil Limited had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Horizon Oil Limited has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| About 33.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Horizon Oil Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Horizon OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Horizon Oil's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Horizon Oil's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.6 B |
Horizon Oil Technical Analysis
Horizon Oil's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Horizon OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Horizon Oil Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Horizon OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Horizon Oil Predictive Forecast Models
Horizon Oil's time-series forecasting models is one of many Horizon Oil's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Horizon Oil's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Horizon Oil Limited
Checking the ongoing alerts about Horizon Oil for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Horizon Oil Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Horizon Oil Limited had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Horizon Oil Limited has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| About 33.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Horizon OTC Stock
Horizon Oil financial ratios help investors to determine whether Horizon OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Horizon with respect to the benefits of owning Horizon Oil security.