Voya Asia Pacific Fund Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 1.58
| IAE Fund | USD 6.21 0.06 0.98% |
Voya |
Voya Asia Target Price Odds to finish below 1.58
The tendency of Voya Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 1.58 or more in 90 days |
| 6.21 | 90 days | 1.58 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Voya Asia to drop to $ 1.58 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Voya Asia Pacific probability density function shows the probability of Voya Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Voya Asia Pacific price to stay between $ 1.58 and its current price of $6.21 at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.41 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Voya Asia has a beta of 0.26. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Voya Asia average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Voya Asia Pacific will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Voya Asia Pacific has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Voya Asia Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Voya Asia
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Voya Asia Pacific. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Voya Asia Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Voya Asia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Voya Asia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Voya Asia Pacific, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Voya Asia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.26 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Voya Asia Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Voya Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Voya Asia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Voya Asia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Voya Asia Technical Analysis
Voya Asia's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Voya Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Voya Asia Pacific. In general, you should focus on analyzing Voya Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Voya Asia Predictive Forecast Models
Voya Asia's time-series forecasting models is one of many Voya Asia's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Voya Asia's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Voya Asia in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Voya Asia's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Voya Asia options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Voya Fund
Voya Asia financial ratios help investors to determine whether Voya Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Voya with respect to the benefits of owning Voya Asia security.
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