IShares AEX (Netherlands) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 70.58
| IAEX Etf | EUR 87.40 0.38 0.44% |
IShares |
IShares AEX Target Price Odds to finish below 70.58
The tendency of IShares Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 70.58 or more in 90 days |
| 87.40 | 90 days | 70.58 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of IShares AEX to drop to € 70.58 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This iShares AEX UCITS probability density function shows the probability of IShares Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of iShares AEX UCITS price to stay between € 70.58 and its current price of €87.4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.94 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon iShares AEX UCITS has a beta of -0.0563. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding IShares AEX are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, iShares AEX UCITS is likely to outperform the market. Additionally IShares AEX UCITS has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. IShares AEX Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for IShares AEX
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as iShares AEX UCITS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.IShares AEX Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. IShares AEX is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the IShares AEX's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold iShares AEX UCITS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of IShares AEX within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.56 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
IShares AEX Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of IShares AEX for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for iShares AEX UCITS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| iShares AEX UCITS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund retains 99.35% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
IShares AEX Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of IShares Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential IShares AEX's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. IShares AEX's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day | 47.73k | |
| Average Daily Volume In Three Month | 32.01k |
IShares AEX Technical Analysis
IShares AEX's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. IShares Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of iShares AEX UCITS. In general, you should focus on analyzing IShares Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
IShares AEX Predictive Forecast Models
IShares AEX's time-series forecasting models is one of many IShares AEX's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary IShares AEX's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about iShares AEX UCITS
Checking the ongoing alerts about IShares AEX for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for iShares AEX UCITS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| iShares AEX UCITS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund retains 99.35% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Other Information on Investing in IShares Etf
IShares AEX financial ratios help investors to determine whether IShares Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in IShares with respect to the benefits of owning IShares AEX security.