Insurance Australia (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.72
| IAG Stock | 8.50 0.04 0.47% |
Insurance |
Insurance Australia Target Price Odds to finish below 5.72
The tendency of Insurance Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 5.72 or more in 90 days |
| 8.50 | 90 days | 5.72 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Insurance Australia to drop to 5.72 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Insurance Australia Group probability density function shows the probability of Insurance Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Insurance Australia price to stay between 5.72 and its current price of 8.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 91.1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Insurance Australia has a beta of 0.32. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Insurance Australia average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Insurance Australia Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Insurance Australia Group has an alpha of 0.1946, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Insurance Australia Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Insurance Australia
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Insurance Australia. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Insurance Australia Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Insurance Australia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Insurance Australia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Insurance Australia Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Insurance Australia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.32 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.46 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
Insurance Australia Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Insurance Australia for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Insurance Australia can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Insurance Australia is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years |
Insurance Australia Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Insurance Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Insurance Australia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Insurance Australia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.8 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 631 M |
Insurance Australia Technical Analysis
Insurance Australia's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Insurance Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Insurance Australia Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Insurance Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Insurance Australia Predictive Forecast Models
Insurance Australia's time-series forecasting models is one of many Insurance Australia's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Insurance Australia's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Insurance Australia
Checking the ongoing alerts about Insurance Australia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Insurance Australia help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Insurance Australia is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years |
Additional Tools for Insurance Stock Analysis
When running Insurance Australia's price analysis, check to measure Insurance Australia's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Insurance Australia is operating at the current time. Most of Insurance Australia's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Insurance Australia's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Insurance Australia's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Insurance Australia to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.