Inti Bangun (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4936.89
| IBST Stock | IDR 5,050 25.00 0.49% |
Inti |
Inti Bangun Target Price Odds to finish over 4936.89
The tendency of Inti Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 4,937 in 90 days |
| 5,050 | 90 days | 4,937 | about 83.15 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Inti Bangun to stay above 4,937 in 90 days from now is about 83.15 (This Inti Bangun Sejahtera probability density function shows the probability of Inti Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Inti Bangun Sejahtera price to stay between 4,937 and its current price of 5050.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.38 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Inti Bangun has a beta of 0.009. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Inti Bangun average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Inti Bangun Sejahtera will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Inti Bangun Sejahtera has an alpha of 0.0231, implying that it can generate a 0.0231 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Inti Bangun Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Inti Bangun
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Inti Bangun Sejahtera. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Inti Bangun Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Inti Bangun is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Inti Bangun's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Inti Bangun Sejahtera, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Inti Bangun within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 319.23 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Inti Bangun Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Inti Bangun for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Inti Bangun Sejahtera can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Inti Bangun generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 90.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Inti Bangun Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Inti Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Inti Bangun's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Inti Bangun's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.4 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.2 T |
Inti Bangun Technical Analysis
Inti Bangun's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Inti Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Inti Bangun Sejahtera. In general, you should focus on analyzing Inti Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Inti Bangun Predictive Forecast Models
Inti Bangun's time-series forecasting models is one of many Inti Bangun's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Inti Bangun's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Inti Bangun Sejahtera
Checking the ongoing alerts about Inti Bangun for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Inti Bangun Sejahtera help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Inti Bangun generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 90.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Inti Stock
Inti Bangun financial ratios help investors to determine whether Inti Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Inti with respect to the benefits of owning Inti Bangun security.