Information (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.36

ICN Stock  THB 2.18  0.02  0.91%   
Information's future price is the expected price of Information instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Information and Communication performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Information Backtesting, Information Valuation, Information Correlation, Information Hype Analysis, Information Volatility, Information History as well as Information Performance.
  
Please specify Information's target price for which you would like Information odds to be computed.

Information Target Price Odds to finish below 2.36

The tendency of Information Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  2.36  after 90 days
 2.18 90 days 2.36 
about 83.67
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Information to stay under  2.36  after 90 days from now is about 83.67 (This Information and Communication probability density function shows the probability of Information Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Information and Comm price to stay between its current price of  2.18  and  2.36  at the end of the 90-day period is about 77.9 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Information has a beta of 0.23. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Information average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Information and Communication will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Information and Communication has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Information Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Information

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Information and Comm. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.142.204.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.192.254.31
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.152.214.27
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.062.212.37
Details

Information Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Information is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Information's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Information and Communication, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Information within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.23
σ
Overall volatility
0.07
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Information Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Information for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Information and Comm can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Information and Communication has accumulated about 209.97 M in cash with (74.78 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.47.
Roughly 51.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Information Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Information Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Information's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Information's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding450 M

Information Technical Analysis

Information's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Information Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Information and Communication. In general, you should focus on analyzing Information Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Information Predictive Forecast Models

Information's time-series forecasting models is one of many Information's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Information's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Information and Comm

Checking the ongoing alerts about Information for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Information and Comm help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Information and Communication has accumulated about 209.97 M in cash with (74.78 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.47.
Roughly 51.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Information Stock

Information financial ratios help investors to determine whether Information Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Information with respect to the benefits of owning Information security.