Idealist Gayrimenkul (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.65

IDGYO Stock  TRY 2.65  0.01  0.38%   
Idealist Gayrimenkul's future price is the expected price of Idealist Gayrimenkul instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Idealist Gayrimenkul Yatirim performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Idealist Gayrimenkul Backtesting, Idealist Gayrimenkul Valuation, Idealist Gayrimenkul Correlation, Idealist Gayrimenkul Hype Analysis, Idealist Gayrimenkul Volatility, Idealist Gayrimenkul History as well as Idealist Gayrimenkul Performance.
  
Please specify Idealist Gayrimenkul's target price for which you would like Idealist Gayrimenkul odds to be computed.

Idealist Gayrimenkul Target Price Odds to finish over 2.65

The tendency of Idealist Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 2.65 90 days 2.65 
about 67.78
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Idealist Gayrimenkul to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 67.78 (This Idealist Gayrimenkul Yatirim probability density function shows the probability of Idealist Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Idealist Gayrimenkul Yatirim has a beta of -0.62. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Idealist Gayrimenkul are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Idealist Gayrimenkul Yatirim is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Idealist Gayrimenkul Yatirim has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Idealist Gayrimenkul Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Idealist Gayrimenkul

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Idealist Gayrimenkul. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.132.655.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.112.244.91
Details

Idealist Gayrimenkul Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Idealist Gayrimenkul is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Idealist Gayrimenkul's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Idealist Gayrimenkul Yatirim, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Idealist Gayrimenkul within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.62
σ
Overall volatility
0.13
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Idealist Gayrimenkul Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Idealist Gayrimenkul for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Idealist Gayrimenkul can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Idealist Gayrimenkul generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Idealist Gayrimenkul Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Idealist Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Idealist Gayrimenkul's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Idealist Gayrimenkul's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding50 M

Idealist Gayrimenkul Technical Analysis

Idealist Gayrimenkul's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Idealist Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Idealist Gayrimenkul Yatirim. In general, you should focus on analyzing Idealist Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Idealist Gayrimenkul Predictive Forecast Models

Idealist Gayrimenkul's time-series forecasting models is one of many Idealist Gayrimenkul's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Idealist Gayrimenkul's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Idealist Gayrimenkul

Checking the ongoing alerts about Idealist Gayrimenkul for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Idealist Gayrimenkul help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Idealist Gayrimenkul generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Idealist Stock

Idealist Gayrimenkul financial ratios help investors to determine whether Idealist Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Idealist with respect to the benefits of owning Idealist Gayrimenkul security.