IDI SCA (France) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 68.60

IDIP Stock  EUR 68.60  1.00  1.48%   
IDI SCA's future price is the expected price of IDI SCA instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of IDI SCA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out IDI SCA Backtesting, IDI SCA Valuation, IDI SCA Correlation, IDI SCA Hype Analysis, IDI SCA Volatility, IDI SCA History as well as IDI SCA Performance.
  
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IDI SCA Target Price Odds to finish over 68.60

The tendency of IDI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 68.60 90 days 68.60 
about 48.58
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of IDI SCA to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 48.58 (This IDI SCA probability density function shows the probability of IDI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon IDI SCA has a beta of -0.0315. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding IDI SCA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, IDI SCA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally IDI SCA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   IDI SCA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for IDI SCA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as IDI SCA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
67.7668.6069.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
64.5865.4275.46
Details

IDI SCA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. IDI SCA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the IDI SCA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold IDI SCA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of IDI SCA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.84
Ir
Information ratio -0.21

IDI SCA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of IDI SCA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for IDI SCA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
IDI SCA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
IDI SCA has accumulated about 110.45 M in cash with (11.76 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 15.38.
Roughly 70.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

IDI SCA Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of IDI Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential IDI SCA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. IDI SCA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingM
Cash And Short Term Investments12.2 M

IDI SCA Technical Analysis

IDI SCA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. IDI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of IDI SCA. In general, you should focus on analyzing IDI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

IDI SCA Predictive Forecast Models

IDI SCA's time-series forecasting models is one of many IDI SCA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary IDI SCA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about IDI SCA

Checking the ongoing alerts about IDI SCA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for IDI SCA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
IDI SCA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
IDI SCA has accumulated about 110.45 M in cash with (11.76 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 15.38.
Roughly 70.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in IDI Stock

IDI SCA financial ratios help investors to determine whether IDI Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in IDI with respect to the benefits of owning IDI SCA security.