INDOSAT B (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.93

IDO1 Stock  EUR 0.14  0.01  6.67%   
INDOSAT B's future price is the expected price of INDOSAT B instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of INDOSAT B performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out INDOSAT B Backtesting, INDOSAT B Valuation, INDOSAT B Correlation, INDOSAT B Hype Analysis, INDOSAT B Volatility, INDOSAT B History as well as INDOSAT B Performance.
  
Please specify INDOSAT B's target price for which you would like INDOSAT B odds to be computed.

INDOSAT B Target Price Odds to finish over 4.93

The tendency of INDOSAT Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 4.93  or more in 90 days
 0.14 90 days 4.93 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of INDOSAT B to move over € 4.93  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This INDOSAT B probability density function shows the probability of INDOSAT Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of INDOSAT B price to stay between its current price of € 0.14  and € 4.93  at the end of the 90-day period is about 90.91 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon INDOSAT B has a beta of 0.34. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, INDOSAT B average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding INDOSAT B will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally INDOSAT B has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   INDOSAT B Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for INDOSAT B

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as INDOSAT B. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.141.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.121.70
Details

INDOSAT B Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. INDOSAT B is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the INDOSAT B's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold INDOSAT B , one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of INDOSAT B within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.34
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

INDOSAT B Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of INDOSAT B for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for INDOSAT B can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
INDOSAT B generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
INDOSAT B has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock

INDOSAT B Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of INDOSAT Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential INDOSAT B's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. INDOSAT B's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding8.1 B
Short Long Term Debt4.3 T

INDOSAT B Technical Analysis

INDOSAT B's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. INDOSAT Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of INDOSAT B . In general, you should focus on analyzing INDOSAT Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

INDOSAT B Predictive Forecast Models

INDOSAT B's time-series forecasting models is one of many INDOSAT B's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary INDOSAT B's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about INDOSAT B

Checking the ongoing alerts about INDOSAT B for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for INDOSAT B help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
INDOSAT B generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
INDOSAT B has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock

Additional Tools for INDOSAT Stock Analysis

When running INDOSAT B's price analysis, check to measure INDOSAT B's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy INDOSAT B is operating at the current time. Most of INDOSAT B's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of INDOSAT B's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move INDOSAT B's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of INDOSAT B to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.