India Closed Fund Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Over 21.08

IFN Fund  USD 17.14  0.15  0.87%   
India Closed's future price is the expected price of India Closed instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of India Closed performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out India Closed Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, India Closed Correlation, India Closed Hype Analysis, India Closed Volatility, India Closed History as well as India Closed Performance.
  
Please specify India Closed's target price for which you would like India Closed odds to be computed.

India Closed Target Price Odds to finish over 21.08

The tendency of India Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 21.08  or more in 90 days
 17.14 90 days 21.08 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of India Closed to move over $ 21.08  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This India Closed probability density function shows the probability of India Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of India Closed price to stay between its current price of $ 17.14  and $ 21.08  at the end of the 90-day period is about 81.3 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon India Closed has a beta of 0.46. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, India Closed average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding India Closed will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally India Closed has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   India Closed Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for India Closed

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as India Closed. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.2517.2918.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.3617.4018.44
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.1817.2218.26
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.5217.3518.17
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as India Closed. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against India Closed's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, India Closed's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in India Closed.

India Closed Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. India Closed is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the India Closed's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold India Closed, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of India Closed within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.46
σ
Overall volatility
0.54
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

India Closed Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of India Closed for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for India Closed can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
India Closed generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: EP Wealth Advisors LLC Invests 1.26 Million in The India Fund, Inc. - MarketBeat

India Closed Technical Analysis

India Closed's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. India Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of India Closed. In general, you should focus on analyzing India Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

India Closed Predictive Forecast Models

India Closed's time-series forecasting models is one of many India Closed's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary India Closed's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about India Closed

Checking the ongoing alerts about India Closed for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for India Closed help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
India Closed generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: EP Wealth Advisors LLC Invests 1.26 Million in The India Fund, Inc. - MarketBeat

Other Information on Investing in India Fund

India Closed financial ratios help investors to determine whether India Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in India with respect to the benefits of owning India Closed security.
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