Internet Gold (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.9

IGLD-M Stock   3.90  0.20  5.41%   
Internet Gold's future price is the expected price of Internet Gold instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Internet Gold performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
  
Please specify Internet Gold's target price for which you would like Internet Gold odds to be computed.

Internet Gold Target Price Odds to finish below 3.9

The tendency of Internet Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 3.90 90 days 3.90 
about 22.01
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Internet Gold to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 22.01 (This Internet Gold probability density function shows the probability of Internet Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Internet Gold has a beta of -5.17. This usually indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Internet Gold are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Internet Gold is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Internet Gold has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Internet Gold Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Internet Gold

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Internet Gold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.203.9012.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.193.7411.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.9012.1120.31
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.474.475.47
Details

Internet Gold Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Internet Gold is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Internet Gold's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Internet Gold , one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Internet Gold within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.49
β
Beta against Dow Jones-5.17
σ
Overall volatility
302.02
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Internet Gold Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Internet Gold for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Internet Gold can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Internet Gold is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Internet Gold generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Internet Gold has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Internet Gold has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Internet Gold Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Internet Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Internet Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Internet Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Float1.5 M

Internet Gold Technical Analysis

Internet Gold's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Internet Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Internet Gold . In general, you should focus on analyzing Internet Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Internet Gold Predictive Forecast Models

Internet Gold's time-series forecasting models is one of many Internet Gold's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Internet Gold's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Internet Gold

Checking the ongoing alerts about Internet Gold for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Internet Gold help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Internet Gold is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Internet Gold generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Internet Gold has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Internet Gold has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Internet Stock

Internet Gold financial ratios help investors to determine whether Internet Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Internet with respect to the benefits of owning Internet Gold security.