Ihlas Gazetecilik (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.7385

IHGZT Stock  TRY 1.55  0.15  8.82%   
Ihlas Gazetecilik's future price is the expected price of Ihlas Gazetecilik instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ihlas Gazetecilik AS performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Ihlas Gazetecilik Backtesting, Ihlas Gazetecilik Valuation, Ihlas Gazetecilik Correlation, Ihlas Gazetecilik Hype Analysis, Ihlas Gazetecilik Volatility, Ihlas Gazetecilik History as well as Ihlas Gazetecilik Performance.
  
Please specify Ihlas Gazetecilik's target price for which you would like Ihlas Gazetecilik odds to be computed.

Ihlas Gazetecilik Target Price Odds to finish over 1.7385

The tendency of Ihlas Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  1.74  or more in 90 days
 1.55 90 days 1.74 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ihlas Gazetecilik to move over  1.74  or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Ihlas Gazetecilik AS probability density function shows the probability of Ihlas Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ihlas Gazetecilik price to stay between its current price of  1.55  and  1.74  at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.47 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ihlas Gazetecilik AS has a beta of -0.41. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Ihlas Gazetecilik are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Ihlas Gazetecilik AS is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Ihlas Gazetecilik AS has an alpha of 0.497, implying that it can generate a 0.5 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Ihlas Gazetecilik Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ihlas Gazetecilik

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ihlas Gazetecilik. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ihlas Gazetecilik's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.081.556.63
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.071.306.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.536.61
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.321.692.06
Details

Ihlas Gazetecilik Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ihlas Gazetecilik is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ihlas Gazetecilik's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ihlas Gazetecilik AS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ihlas Gazetecilik within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.50
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.41
σ
Overall volatility
0.23
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Ihlas Gazetecilik Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ihlas Gazetecilik for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ihlas Gazetecilik can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ihlas Gazetecilik had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Ihlas Gazetecilik may become a speculative penny stock
Ihlas Gazetecilik AS has accumulated about 2.97 M in cash with (428.33 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02.
Roughly 54.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Ihlas Gazetecilik Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ihlas Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ihlas Gazetecilik's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ihlas Gazetecilik's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding800 M

Ihlas Gazetecilik Technical Analysis

Ihlas Gazetecilik's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ihlas Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ihlas Gazetecilik AS. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ihlas Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ihlas Gazetecilik Predictive Forecast Models

Ihlas Gazetecilik's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ihlas Gazetecilik's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ihlas Gazetecilik's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ihlas Gazetecilik

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ihlas Gazetecilik for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ihlas Gazetecilik help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ihlas Gazetecilik had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Ihlas Gazetecilik may become a speculative penny stock
Ihlas Gazetecilik AS has accumulated about 2.97 M in cash with (428.33 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02.
Roughly 54.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Ihlas Stock

Ihlas Gazetecilik financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ihlas Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ihlas with respect to the benefits of owning Ihlas Gazetecilik security.