Fisher Large Cap Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 16.37

ILESX Fund  USD 18.02  0.18  0.99%   
Fisher Investments' future price is the expected price of Fisher Investments instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fisher Large Cap performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Fisher Investments Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Fisher Investments Correlation, Fisher Investments Hype Analysis, Fisher Investments Volatility, Fisher Investments History as well as Fisher Investments Performance.
  
Please specify Fisher Investments' target price for which you would like Fisher Investments odds to be computed.

Fisher Investments Target Price Odds to finish over 16.37

The tendency of Fisher Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 16.37  in 90 days
 18.02 90 days 16.37 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fisher Investments to stay above $ 16.37  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Fisher Large Cap probability density function shows the probability of Fisher Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fisher Investments price to stay between $ 16.37  and its current price of $18.02 at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.51 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Fisher Investments has a beta of 0.8. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Fisher Investments average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Fisher Large Cap will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Fisher Large Cap has an alpha of 0.0136, implying that it can generate a 0.0136 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Fisher Investments Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fisher Investments

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fisher Investments. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fisher Investments' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.1318.0218.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.2518.1419.03
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.9517.8418.73
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
17.8218.7319.64
Details

Fisher Investments Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fisher Investments is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fisher Investments' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fisher Large Cap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fisher Investments within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.80
σ
Overall volatility
0.48
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Fisher Investments Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fisher Investments for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fisher Investments can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 99.04% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Fisher Investments Technical Analysis

Fisher Investments' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fisher Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fisher Large Cap. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fisher Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fisher Investments Predictive Forecast Models

Fisher Investments' time-series forecasting models is one of many Fisher Investments' mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fisher Investments' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Fisher Investments

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fisher Investments for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fisher Investments help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 99.04% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Fisher Mutual Fund

Fisher Investments financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fisher Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fisher with respect to the benefits of owning Fisher Investments security.
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