Impac Mortgage Holdings Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.25
| IMHDelisted Stock | USD 0.06 0.01 9.23% |
Impac |
Impac Mortgage Target Price Odds to finish over 0.25
The tendency of Impac Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 0.25 or more in 90 days |
| 0.06 | 90 days | 0.25 | about 20.66 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Impac Mortgage to move over $ 0.25 or more in 90 days from now is about 20.66 (This Impac Mortgage Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Impac Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Impac Mortgage Holdings price to stay between its current price of $ 0.06 and $ 0.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 62.32 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Impac Mortgage Holdings has a beta of -1.27. This usually indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Impac Mortgage Holdings are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Impac Mortgage is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Impac Mortgage Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Impac Mortgage Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Impac Mortgage
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Impac Mortgage Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Impac Mortgage Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Impac Mortgage is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Impac Mortgage's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Impac Mortgage Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Impac Mortgage within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.49 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Impac Mortgage Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Impac Mortgage for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Impac Mortgage Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Impac Mortgage is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Impac Mortgage has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Impac Mortgage has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 8.6 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (39.43 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (10.74 M). | |
| About 29.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Impac Mortgage Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Impac Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Impac Mortgage's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Impac Mortgage's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 23.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 25.9 M |
Impac Mortgage Technical Analysis
Impac Mortgage's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Impac Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Impac Mortgage Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Impac Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Impac Mortgage Predictive Forecast Models
Impac Mortgage's time-series forecasting models is one of many Impac Mortgage's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Impac Mortgage's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Impac Mortgage Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Impac Mortgage for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Impac Mortgage Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Impac Mortgage is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Impac Mortgage has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Impac Mortgage has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 8.6 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (39.43 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (10.74 M). | |
| About 29.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population. You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Other Consideration for investing in Impac Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Impac Mortgage Holdings check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Impac Mortgage's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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