Impact Growth (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.16
| IMPACT Stock | THB 11.40 0.30 2.70% |
Impact |
Impact Growth Target Price Odds to finish below 11.16
The tendency of Impact Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 11.16 or more in 90 days |
| 11.40 | 90 days | 11.16 | about 15.26 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Impact Growth to drop to 11.16 or more in 90 days from now is about 15.26 (This Impact Growth REIT probability density function shows the probability of Impact Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Impact Growth REIT price to stay between 11.16 and its current price of 11.4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.15 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Impact Growth has a beta of 0.0293. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Impact Growth average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Impact Growth REIT will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Impact Growth REIT has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Impact Growth Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Impact Growth
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Impact Growth REIT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Impact Growth's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Impact Growth Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Impact Growth is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Impact Growth's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Impact Growth REIT, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Impact Growth within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.53 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Impact Growth Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Impact Growth for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Impact Growth REIT can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Impact Growth REIT generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Impact Growth REIT has accumulated 2 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.24, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Impact Growth REIT has a current ratio of 0.1, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Impact Growth until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Impact Growth's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Impact Growth REIT sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Impact to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Impact Growth's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 57.0% of Impact Growth shares are held by company insiders |
Impact Growth Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Impact Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Impact Growth's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Impact Growth's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.5 B |
Impact Growth Technical Analysis
Impact Growth's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Impact Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Impact Growth REIT. In general, you should focus on analyzing Impact Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Impact Growth Predictive Forecast Models
Impact Growth's time-series forecasting models is one of many Impact Growth's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Impact Growth's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Impact Growth REIT
Checking the ongoing alerts about Impact Growth for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Impact Growth REIT help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Impact Growth REIT generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Impact Growth REIT has accumulated 2 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.24, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Impact Growth REIT has a current ratio of 0.1, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Impact Growth until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Impact Growth's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Impact Growth REIT sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Impact to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Impact Growth's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 57.0% of Impact Growth shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Impact Stock
Impact Growth financial ratios help investors to determine whether Impact Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Impact with respect to the benefits of owning Impact Growth security.