Compagnie Industrielle (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 38.79

INFE Stock  EUR 61.00  0.00  0.00%   
Compagnie Industrielle's future price is the expected price of Compagnie Industrielle instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Compagnie Industrielle et performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Compagnie Industrielle Backtesting, Compagnie Industrielle Valuation, Compagnie Industrielle Correlation, Compagnie Industrielle Hype Analysis, Compagnie Industrielle Volatility, Compagnie Industrielle History as well as Compagnie Industrielle Performance.
  
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Compagnie Industrielle Target Price Odds to finish over 38.79

The tendency of Compagnie Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above € 38.79  in 90 days
 61.00 90 days 38.79 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Compagnie Industrielle to stay above € 38.79  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Compagnie Industrielle et probability density function shows the probability of Compagnie Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Compagnie Industrielle price to stay between € 38.79  and its current price of €61.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 70.35 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Compagnie Industrielle has a beta of 0.0626. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Compagnie Industrielle average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Compagnie Industrielle et will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Compagnie Industrielle et has an alpha of 0.2855, implying that it can generate a 0.29 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Compagnie Industrielle Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Compagnie Industrielle

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Compagnie Industrielle. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
59.2261.0062.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
54.9069.0370.81
Details

Compagnie Industrielle Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Compagnie Industrielle is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Compagnie Industrielle's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Compagnie Industrielle et, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Compagnie Industrielle within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.29
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.06
σ
Overall volatility
4.11
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Compagnie Industrielle Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Compagnie Industrielle for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Compagnie Industrielle can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 62.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Compagnie Industrielle Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Compagnie Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Compagnie Industrielle's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Compagnie Industrielle's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments53.9 M

Compagnie Industrielle Technical Analysis

Compagnie Industrielle's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Compagnie Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Compagnie Industrielle et. In general, you should focus on analyzing Compagnie Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Compagnie Industrielle Predictive Forecast Models

Compagnie Industrielle's time-series forecasting models is one of many Compagnie Industrielle's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Compagnie Industrielle's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Compagnie Industrielle

Checking the ongoing alerts about Compagnie Industrielle for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Compagnie Industrielle help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 62.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Compagnie Stock

Compagnie Industrielle financial ratios help investors to determine whether Compagnie Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Compagnie with respect to the benefits of owning Compagnie Industrielle security.