Infinera Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 6.59
| INFN Stock | USD 6.62 0.03 0.46% |
Infinera |
Infinera Target Price Odds to finish below 6.59
The tendency of Infinera Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 6.59 or more in 90 days |
| 6.62 | 90 days | 6.59 | about 12.25 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Infinera to drop to $ 6.59 or more in 90 days from now is about 12.25 (This Infinera probability density function shows the probability of Infinera Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Infinera price to stay between $ 6.59 and its current price of $6.62 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.65 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Infinera has a beta of 0.0792. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Infinera average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Infinera will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Infinera has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Infinera Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Infinera
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Infinera. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Infinera Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Infinera is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Infinera's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Infinera, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Infinera within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Infinera Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Infinera for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Infinera can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Infinera generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.61 B. Net Loss for the year was (25.21 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 559.14 M. | |
| Over 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Nokia Corporation Repurchase of own shares on 23.12.2024 |
Infinera Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Infinera Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Infinera's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Infinera's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 226.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 172.5 M |
Infinera Technical Analysis
Infinera's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Infinera Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Infinera. In general, you should focus on analyzing Infinera Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Infinera Predictive Forecast Models
Infinera's time-series forecasting models is one of many Infinera's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Infinera's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Infinera
Checking the ongoing alerts about Infinera for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Infinera help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Infinera generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.61 B. Net Loss for the year was (25.21 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 559.14 M. | |
| Over 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Nokia Corporation Repurchase of own shares on 23.12.2024 |
Check out Infinera Backtesting, Infinera Valuation, Infinera Correlation, Infinera Hype Analysis, Infinera Volatility, Infinera History as well as Infinera Performance. To learn how to invest in Infinera Stock, please use our How to Invest in Infinera guide.You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Is Communications Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Infinera. If investors know Infinera will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Infinera listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.47) | Revenue Per Share 6.254 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.1) | Return On Assets (0.02) | Return On Equity (0.71) |
The market value of Infinera is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Infinera that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Infinera's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Infinera's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Infinera's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Infinera's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Infinera's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Infinera is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Infinera's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.