Indah Prakasa (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 156.60
| INPS Stock | IDR 162.00 8.00 4.71% |
Indah |
Indah Prakasa Target Price Odds to finish below 156.60
The tendency of Indah Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 156.60 or more in 90 days |
| 162.00 | 90 days | 156.60 | about 72.1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Indah Prakasa to drop to 156.60 or more in 90 days from now is about 72.1 (This Indah Prakasa Sentosa probability density function shows the probability of Indah Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Indah Prakasa Sentosa price to stay between 156.60 and its current price of 162.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.03 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Indah Prakasa has a beta of 0.97. This usually indicates Indah Prakasa Sentosa market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Indah Prakasa is expected to follow. Additionally Indah Prakasa Sentosa has an alpha of 0.6817, implying that it can generate a 0.68 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Indah Prakasa Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Indah Prakasa
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Indah Prakasa Sentosa. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Indah Prakasa Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Indah Prakasa is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Indah Prakasa's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Indah Prakasa Sentosa, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Indah Prakasa within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.68 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.97 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 18.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Indah Prakasa Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Indah Prakasa for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Indah Prakasa Sentosa can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Indah Prakasa is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Indah Prakasa appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Indah Prakasa Sentosa has accumulated 12.16 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.38, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Indah Prakasa Sentosa has a current ratio of 0.33, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Indah Prakasa until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Indah Prakasa's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Indah Prakasa Sentosa sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Indah to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Indah Prakasa's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 276.52 B. Net Loss for the year was (31.22 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 43.23 B. | |
| About 91.0% of Indah Prakasa shares are held by company insiders |
Indah Prakasa Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Indah Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Indah Prakasa's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Indah Prakasa's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 650 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 865.9 M |
Indah Prakasa Technical Analysis
Indah Prakasa's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Indah Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Indah Prakasa Sentosa. In general, you should focus on analyzing Indah Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Indah Prakasa Predictive Forecast Models
Indah Prakasa's time-series forecasting models is one of many Indah Prakasa's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Indah Prakasa's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Indah Prakasa Sentosa
Checking the ongoing alerts about Indah Prakasa for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Indah Prakasa Sentosa help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Indah Prakasa is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Indah Prakasa appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Indah Prakasa Sentosa has accumulated 12.16 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.38, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Indah Prakasa Sentosa has a current ratio of 0.33, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Indah Prakasa until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Indah Prakasa's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Indah Prakasa Sentosa sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Indah to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Indah Prakasa's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 276.52 B. Net Loss for the year was (31.22 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 43.23 B. | |
| About 91.0% of Indah Prakasa shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Indah Stock
Indah Prakasa financial ratios help investors to determine whether Indah Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Indah with respect to the benefits of owning Indah Prakasa security.