Inrom Construction (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1318.56

INRM Stock  ILS 1,699  32.00  1.85%   
Inrom Construction's future price is the expected price of Inrom Construction instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Inrom Construction Industries performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Inrom Construction Backtesting, Inrom Construction Valuation, Inrom Construction Correlation, Inrom Construction Hype Analysis, Inrom Construction Volatility, Inrom Construction History as well as Inrom Construction Performance.
  
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Inrom Construction Target Price Odds to finish below 1318.56

The tendency of Inrom Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to S 1,319  or more in 90 days
 1,699 90 days 1,319 
about 36.59
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Inrom Construction to drop to S 1,319  or more in 90 days from now is about 36.59 (This Inrom Construction Industries probability density function shows the probability of Inrom Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Inrom Construction price to stay between S 1,319  and its current price of S1699.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 53.67 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Inrom Construction Industries has a beta of -0.32. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Inrom Construction are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Inrom Construction Industries is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Inrom Construction Industries has an alpha of 0.7581, implying that it can generate a 0.76 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Inrom Construction Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Inrom Construction

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Inrom Construction. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,6971,6991,701
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,4251,4271,869
Details

Inrom Construction Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Inrom Construction is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Inrom Construction's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Inrom Construction Industries, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Inrom Construction within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.76
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.32
σ
Overall volatility
231.57
Ir
Information ratio 0.33

Inrom Construction Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Inrom Construction for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Inrom Construction can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Inrom Construction has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 62.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Inrom Construction Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Inrom Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Inrom Construction's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Inrom Construction's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding125.1 M

Inrom Construction Technical Analysis

Inrom Construction's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Inrom Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Inrom Construction Industries. In general, you should focus on analyzing Inrom Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Inrom Construction Predictive Forecast Models

Inrom Construction's time-series forecasting models is one of many Inrom Construction's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Inrom Construction's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Inrom Construction

Checking the ongoing alerts about Inrom Construction for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Inrom Construction help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Inrom Construction has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 62.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Other Information on Investing in Inrom Stock

Inrom Construction financial ratios help investors to determine whether Inrom Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Inrom with respect to the benefits of owning Inrom Construction security.