Integrum (Sweden) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 18.47

INTEG-B Stock  SEK 18.45  0.15  0.81%   
Integrum's future price is the expected price of Integrum instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Integrum AB Series performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Integrum Backtesting, Integrum Valuation, Integrum Correlation, Integrum Hype Analysis, Integrum Volatility, Integrum History as well as Integrum Performance.
  
Please specify Integrum's target price for which you would like Integrum odds to be computed.

Integrum Target Price Odds to finish below 18.47

The tendency of Integrum Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under kr 18.47  after 90 days
 18.45 90 days 18.47 
about 1.66
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Integrum to stay under kr 18.47  after 90 days from now is about 1.66 (This Integrum AB Series probability density function shows the probability of Integrum Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Integrum AB Series price to stay between its current price of kr 18.45  and kr 18.47  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Integrum has a beta of 0.2. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Integrum average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Integrum AB Series will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Integrum AB Series has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Integrum Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Integrum

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Integrum AB Series. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.0318.6021.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.8718.4421.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.2116.7819.35
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
18.3223.9529.59
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Integrum. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Integrum's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Integrum's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Integrum AB Series.

Integrum Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Integrum is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Integrum's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Integrum AB Series, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Integrum within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.64
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.20
σ
Overall volatility
3.02
Ir
Information ratio -0.28

Integrum Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Integrum for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Integrum AB Series can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Integrum AB Series generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Integrum AB Series has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Integrum AB Series has accumulated about 10.62 M in cash with (20.28 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.85.
Roughly 44.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Integrum Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Integrum Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Integrum's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Integrum's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding18.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments75.3 M

Integrum Technical Analysis

Integrum's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Integrum Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Integrum AB Series. In general, you should focus on analyzing Integrum Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Integrum Predictive Forecast Models

Integrum's time-series forecasting models is one of many Integrum's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Integrum's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Integrum AB Series

Checking the ongoing alerts about Integrum for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Integrum AB Series help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Integrum AB Series generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Integrum AB Series has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Integrum AB Series has accumulated about 10.62 M in cash with (20.28 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.85.
Roughly 44.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Integrum Stock

Integrum financial ratios help investors to determine whether Integrum Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Integrum with respect to the benefits of owning Integrum security.