Main International Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 21.21
| INTL Etf | USD 22.27 0.10 0.45% |
Main |
Main International Target Price Odds to finish below 21.21
The tendency of Main Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 21.21 or more in 90 days |
| 22.27 | 90 days | 21.21 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Main International to drop to $ 21.21 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Main International ETF probability density function shows the probability of Main Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Main International ETF price to stay between $ 21.21 and its current price of $22.27 at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.72 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Main International has a beta of 0.0278. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Main International average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Main International ETF will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Main International ETF has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Main International Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Main International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Main International ETF. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Main International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Main International Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Main International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Main International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Main International ETF, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Main International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.43 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Main International Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Main International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Main International ETF can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Main International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Main International ETF declares quarterly distribution of 0.5325 |
Main International Technical Analysis
Main International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Main Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Main International ETF. In general, you should focus on analyzing Main Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Main International Predictive Forecast Models
Main International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Main International's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Main International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Main International ETF
Checking the ongoing alerts about Main International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Main International ETF help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Main International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Main International ETF declares quarterly distribution of 0.5325 |
Check out Main International Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Main International Correlation, Main International Hype Analysis, Main International Volatility, Main International History as well as Main International Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
The market value of Main International ETF is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Main that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Main International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Main International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Main International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Main International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Main International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Main International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Main International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.