Ichor Coal (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0008
| IO0 Stock | EUR 0.02 0.00 0.00% |
Ichor |
Ichor Coal Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0008
The tendency of Ichor Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 0.0008 or more in 90 days |
| 0.02 | 90 days | 0.0008 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ichor Coal to drop to € 0.0008 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Ichor Coal NV probability density function shows the probability of Ichor Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ichor Coal NV price to stay between € 0.0008 and its current price of €0.02 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.69 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ichor Coal has a beta of 0.18. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Ichor Coal average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ichor Coal NV will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ichor Coal NV has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Ichor Coal Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ichor Coal
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ichor Coal NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Ichor Coal Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ichor Coal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ichor Coal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ichor Coal NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ichor Coal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.57 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.18 |
Ichor Coal Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ichor Coal for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ichor Coal NV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ichor Coal NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Ichor Coal NV has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Ichor Coal NV has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Ichor Coal NV has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Ichor Coal generates negative cash flow from operations |
Ichor Coal Technical Analysis
Ichor Coal's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ichor Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ichor Coal NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ichor Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ichor Coal Predictive Forecast Models
Ichor Coal's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ichor Coal's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ichor Coal's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ichor Coal NV
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ichor Coal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ichor Coal NV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ichor Coal NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Ichor Coal NV has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Ichor Coal NV has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Ichor Coal NV has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Ichor Coal generates negative cash flow from operations |
Other Information on Investing in Ichor Stock
Ichor Coal financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ichor Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ichor with respect to the benefits of owning Ichor Coal security.