International Paper Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 61.37

IP Stock  USD 53.65  0.80  1.47%   
International Paper's future price is the expected price of International Paper instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of International Paper performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out International Paper Backtesting, International Paper Valuation, International Paper Correlation, International Paper Hype Analysis, International Paper Volatility, International Paper History as well as International Paper Performance.
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At this time, International Paper's Price Earnings Ratio is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 12/23/2024, Price Book Value Ratio is likely to grow to 1.51, while Price Sales Ratio is likely to drop 0.52. Please specify International Paper's target price for which you would like International Paper odds to be computed.

International Paper Target Price Odds to finish over 61.37

The tendency of International Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 61.37  or more in 90 days
 53.65 90 days 61.37 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of International Paper to move over $ 61.37  or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This International Paper probability density function shows the probability of International Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of International Paper price to stay between its current price of $ 53.65  and $ 61.37  at the end of the 90-day period is about 38.81 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon International Paper has a beta of 0.24. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, International Paper average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding International Paper will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally International Paper has an alpha of 0.1484, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   International Paper Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for International Paper

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as International Paper. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
52.3154.4756.63
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
42.4344.5959.90
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
32.3135.5039.41
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.260.310.42
Details

International Paper Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. International Paper is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the International Paper's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold International Paper, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of International Paper within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.24
σ
Overall volatility
4.75
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

International Paper Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of International Paper for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for International Paper can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 16th of December 2024 International Paper paid $ 0.4625 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from businesswire.com: Millennium Partners, L.P. UK Regulatory Announcement Form 8.3 - International Paper Company

International Paper Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of International Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential International Paper's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. International Paper's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding349.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.1 B

International Paper Technical Analysis

International Paper's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. International Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of International Paper. In general, you should focus on analyzing International Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

International Paper Predictive Forecast Models

International Paper's time-series forecasting models is one of many International Paper's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary International Paper's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about International Paper

Checking the ongoing alerts about International Paper for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for International Paper help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 16th of December 2024 International Paper paid $ 0.4625 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from businesswire.com: Millennium Partners, L.P. UK Regulatory Announcement Form 8.3 - International Paper Company

Additional Tools for International Stock Analysis

When running International Paper's price analysis, check to measure International Paper's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy International Paper is operating at the current time. Most of International Paper's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of International Paper's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move International Paper's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of International Paper to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.