Isras Investment (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 83663.46

ISRS Stock  ILA 86,680  1,800  2.03%   
Isras Investment's future price is the expected price of Isras Investment instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Isras Investment performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Isras Investment Backtesting, Isras Investment Valuation, Isras Investment Correlation, Isras Investment Hype Analysis, Isras Investment Volatility, Isras Investment History as well as Isras Investment Performance.
  
Please specify Isras Investment's target price for which you would like Isras Investment odds to be computed.

Isras Investment Target Price Odds to finish over 83663.46

The tendency of Isras Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  83,663  in 90 days
 86,680 90 days 83,663 
about 5.09
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Isras Investment to stay above  83,663  in 90 days from now is about 5.09 (This Isras Investment probability density function shows the probability of Isras Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Isras Investment price to stay between  83,663  and its current price of 86680.0 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Isras Investment has a beta of -0.085. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Isras Investment are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Isras Investment is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Isras Investment has an alpha of 0.3522, implying that it can generate a 0.35 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Isras Investment Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Isras Investment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Isras Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
86,67886,68086,682
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
69,28769,28995,348
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
84,91784,91884,920
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
82,95284,32585,697
Details

Isras Investment Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Isras Investment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Isras Investment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Isras Investment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Isras Investment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.35
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.09
σ
Overall volatility
5,867
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Isras Investment Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Isras Investment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Isras Investment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 70.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Isras Investment Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Isras Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Isras Investment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Isras Investment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5.4 M

Isras Investment Technical Analysis

Isras Investment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Isras Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Isras Investment. In general, you should focus on analyzing Isras Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Isras Investment Predictive Forecast Models

Isras Investment's time-series forecasting models is one of many Isras Investment's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Isras Investment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Isras Investment

Checking the ongoing alerts about Isras Investment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Isras Investment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 70.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Isras Stock

Isras Investment financial ratios help investors to determine whether Isras Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Isras with respect to the benefits of owning Isras Investment security.