Investcorp Europe Acquisition Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 10.06
| IVCB Stock | USD 11.64 0.05 0.43% |
Investcorp |
Investcorp Europe Target Price Odds to finish below 10.06
The tendency of Investcorp Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 10.06 or more in 90 days |
| 11.64 | 90 days | 10.06 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Investcorp Europe to drop to $ 10.06 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Investcorp Europe Acquisition probability density function shows the probability of Investcorp Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Investcorp Europe price to stay between $ 10.06 and its current price of $11.64 at the end of the 90-day period is about 89.42 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Investcorp Europe has a beta of 0.0335. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Investcorp Europe average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Investcorp Europe Acquisition will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Investcorp Europe Acquisition has an alpha of 0.0905, implying that it can generate a 0.0905 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Investcorp Europe Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Investcorp Europe
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Investcorp Europe. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Investcorp Europe's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Investcorp Europe Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Investcorp Europe is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Investcorp Europe's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Investcorp Europe Acquisition, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Investcorp Europe within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.24 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Investcorp Europe Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Investcorp Europe for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Investcorp Europe can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Net Loss for the year was (4.41 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Investcorp Europe Acquisition currently holds about 896.89 K in cash with (1.83 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02. | |
| Investcorp Europe has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 87.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| On 12th of November 2024 Investcorp Europe paid $ 0.6 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Investcorp delays shareholder meeting to vote on extension |
Investcorp Europe Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Investcorp Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Investcorp Europe's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Investcorp Europe's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 29.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 98.7 K |
Investcorp Europe Technical Analysis
Investcorp Europe's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Investcorp Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Investcorp Europe Acquisition. In general, you should focus on analyzing Investcorp Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Investcorp Europe Predictive Forecast Models
Investcorp Europe's time-series forecasting models is one of many Investcorp Europe's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Investcorp Europe's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Investcorp Europe
Checking the ongoing alerts about Investcorp Europe for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Investcorp Europe help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Net Loss for the year was (4.41 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Investcorp Europe Acquisition currently holds about 896.89 K in cash with (1.83 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02. | |
| Investcorp Europe has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 87.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| On 12th of November 2024 Investcorp Europe paid $ 0.6 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Investcorp delays shareholder meeting to vote on extension |
Check out Investcorp Europe Backtesting, Investcorp Europe Valuation, Investcorp Europe Correlation, Investcorp Europe Hype Analysis, Investcorp Europe Volatility, Investcorp Europe History as well as Investcorp Europe Performance. You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Investcorp Europe. If investors know Investcorp will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Investcorp Europe listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.786 | Earnings Share 2.03 | Return On Assets (0.04) |
The market value of Investcorp Europe is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Investcorp that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Investcorp Europe's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Investcorp Europe's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Investcorp Europe's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Investcorp Europe's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Investcorp Europe's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Investcorp Europe is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Investcorp Europe's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.